A combination of fast-melting snow and rainfall expected to hit the Lorain County area this afternoon and evening could see the Black River come out of its banks to produce minor flooding.
The Black River stood at 8.2 feet as of 9 p.m. Saturday, according to Mike Abair, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service office in Cleveland.
“Right now, the river is actually going down,” Abair said about 9:30 p.m. Saturday. “It’s been rather nice today, with no rain.”
Abair said the river rose to about nine feet Friday or about a half-foot below its flood stage of 9.5 feet because rainfall Friday combined with melting snow.
Forecasters were tracking significant rain in Indiana that was expected to reach Lorain County by this afternoon and evening.
“The flood warning remains in effect as we’ll get another surge of rainfall through the day Sunday,” Abair said. “The river reacts rather quickly.
“A quarter-inch of rain in Lorain County can make a big difference (in the river levels).”
In general, minor flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township when river levels reach 9.5 feet.
Forecasters were calling for river levels to range between 8 feet as of midday today and 10 feet as of midday Monday.